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Ratings of parties in elections to the Verkhovna Rada: May 2012

http://ratinggroup.com.ua/en/products/politic/data/entry/14002/
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2012/05/22

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According to the survey conducted by the Sociological group "Rating" if elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine occurred in early May 2012, 34% of respondents would definitely participate in them, other 34% - would likely participate. High level of mobilization is recorded in the West, the lowest - in the South, in the East of the country and in Donbas. High level of mobilization is recorded among supporters of Batkivshchyna, Freedom, the Party of Regions and the CPU.


RESULTS:

If elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine occurred in early May 2012, the unified register of Batkivshchyna and the Front for Change would win. Thus, 25.6% of respondents (among those who would participate in elections) would vote for the unified register of Batkivshchyna and the Front for Change, 22% - for the Party of Regions, 9.2% - for V. Klychko’s party UDAR, 7.6 % - for the Communist Party, 4.4% - for Freedom.

Other 3.8% of voters would support N. Korolevska’s party "Ukraine - Forward!" 2.4% - Civil Position. More than 6% would support other parties, 19% - are undecided.

TENDENCIES:

  • Over the previous two months, the citizens’ readiness to participate in elections has decreased. In particular, the number of respondents who would definitely participate in parliamentary elections has decreased from 45% to 34%. Also, after the union of Batkivshchyna and the Front for Change the number of undecided has slightly increased (from 17.7 to 19%).
  • Batkivshchyna and the Front for Change have suffered the greatest losses; the overall rating of these parties has decreased from 30 to 25.6% since February. Great losses have occurred in Batkivshchyna, in the first place, in favor of N. Korolevska’s party "Ukraine - Forward!"; its rating has increased from 1 to 3.8%.
  • The rating of the Party of Regions has remained practically unchanged over the past two months.
  • UDAR has also added some points - from 7.2 to 9.2%, which resulted in getting the third position in the rating, ahead of the Communist Party. Positions of the Communists remain stable, while showing a slight upward tendency.
  • Freedom demonstrates traditional stability; its rating has not decreased below 4% yet has not increased above 5% within the last six months.

 

The target audience of the research: the population of Ukraine aged from 18 and older.

Optional quantity: 2000 respondents.

The methods of investigation: personal formalized interview according to the questionnaire (face to face).

Measure of inaccuracy for the values close to 50% is less than 2.2%, for the values close to 30% – less than 2%, for the values close to 10% – less than 1.3.

The period of completion: 5-14 of May 2012

The oblast’ distribution:

West: Volyns’ka, Transcarpathia, Ivano–Frankivs’ka, L’vivs’ka, Rivnens’ka, Ternopil’s’ka, Chernivets’ka.

Centre: Vinnyts’ka, Kirovograds’ka, Poltavs’ka, Khmel’nyts’ka, Cherkas’ka.

North: Kyiv, Kyivs’ka, Zhytomyrs’ka, Sums’ka, Chernihivs’ka.

South: AR Crimea, Odes’ka, Khersons’ka, Mykolaivs’ka, Sevastopol

East: Dnipropetrovs’ka, Zaporiz’ka, Kharkivs’ka.

Donbass: Donets’ka, Luhans’ka.


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